Brasiliense vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
ATL
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
IFC
5 - 2
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEA
61%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
BRA
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 1
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
PPE
0 - 1
FFL
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 0
CAM
84%
11%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
PPE
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |