Brasiliense vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TAG
1 - 1
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 0
SOB
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
GOI
4 - 1
BRA
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
GOI
9%
16%
74%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
VIT
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 2
PAY
11%
20%
69%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
PAY
1 - 0
BPA
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
PAY
3 - 1
SCI
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 16 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
PAY
0 - 1
CUI
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
CUI
0 - 1
PAY
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |