Brasiliense vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
POR
1 - 3
BRA
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRE
11%
22%
67%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
GOI
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
BRA
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 1
RDA
80%
15%
6%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NME
2 - 0
JAR
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
APA
3 - 1
NME
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
LTD
2 - 1
NME
28%
24%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
NME
0 - 0
LTD
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
LUV
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |