Brasiliense vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 0
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
OES
39%
27%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |