Copa Verde Last 16
Global 3-5
Brasiliense vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
GAM
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
OES
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LUZ
1 - 1
BRA
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
BRA
7%
16%
78%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 2
REM
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
ITA
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 2
RVV
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITA
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |