Brasiliense vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
BRA
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 2
PRI
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
PRI
3 - 1
BRA
21%
25%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
COL
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SAO
4 - 0
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
EST
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
REA
46%
24%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |