Brasiliense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
BRA
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |