Brasiliense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SED
3 - 2
BRA
14%
19%
68%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
LUZ
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
GAM
3 - 2
BRA
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
TAG
0 - 0
CEI
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 0
SED
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 3
CEI
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
CEI
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |