Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-2
Brasiliense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 2
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
AGU
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 2
HOR
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 4
CEA
13%
19%
67%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
HOR
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CUI
0 - 2
CEA
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
20%
25%
56%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |