Brasiliense vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
4 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
TOC
1 - 0
BRA
10%
22%
68%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
GAM
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
DOM
53%
23%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 0
CAL
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
TOM
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
CRZ
7%
19%
74%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
TFC
0 - 4
CAL
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 1
CAL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |