Brasiliense vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
SAM
5 - 1
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
BRA
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 1
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 4
FOR
21%
28%
51%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 1
COR
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 4
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
POT
0 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALE
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |