Brasiliense vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 3
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 3
BRA
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
TFC
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
5 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 3
ALA
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
BAH
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 1
GAM
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 0
BAH
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |