Brasiliense vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 0
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ARN
3 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
ARN
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 5
CEA
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |