Copa Verde 1/16
Global 1-2
Brasília vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
TAG
11%
17%
72%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
ATP
11%
20%
68%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
ATP
1 - 0
BRA
77%
17%
6%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
GOI
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |