Brasília vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GAM
4 - 0
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
4 - 1
BRA
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
TAG
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
GAM
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
CAP
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |