Copa Verde Last 16
Global 4-2
Brasília vs Independente AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
50%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IAC
2 - 0
BRA
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
SOB
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independente AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IAC
2 - 0
BRA
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
REM
4 - 0
IAC
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
IAC
3 - 0
REM
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 2
IAC
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 1
IAC
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |