Brasília vs Araguaína analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
4 - 3
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEI
56%
24%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
4 - 3
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 2
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
TRE
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
BDF
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |