Brasília vs Araguaína analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
BDF
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
30%
24%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 3
BRA
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CEI
21%
26%
54%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GUR
3 - 1
ARA
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -3 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
GUR
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GUR
1 - 1
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |