Brazil U23 vs South Africa U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
5 - 1
USA
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
USA
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 0
KOR
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
HND
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
SVK
2 - 1
RSA
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 3
RSA
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
RSA
1 - 2
JPN
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |