Brazil U23 vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
26.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
CMR
1 - 0
NGA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
1 - 1
ALG
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
0 - 0
EGY
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1988 |
CMR
1 - 1
NGA
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
3 - 0
KEN
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |