Brazil U23 vs Nigeria U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1996 |
BRA
3 - 1
HUN
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
SUN
2 - 1
BRA
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1988 |
BRA
1 - 1
DEU
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARG
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1996 |
NGA
2 - 0
JPN
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1996 |
NGA
1 - 0
HUN
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |