Brazil U23 vs Guatemala U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
DEU
57%
22%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
6 - 0
HND
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
DEN
0 - 4
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
IRQ
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GTM
0 - 0
CAN
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
GTM
0 - 0
HND
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
GTM
0 - 5
CAN
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 2
GTM
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
HAI
0 - 1
GTM
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |