Brazil U23 vs Colombia U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
BRA
12%
19%
69%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
13%
19%
68%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
EGY
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 0
COL
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
5 - 0
RDO
71%
17%
13%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
PER
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CRC
3 - 2
COL
22%
21%
57%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CRC
2 - 2
COL
21%
21%
58%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |