Brazil U23 vs Qatar U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 4
BRA
5%
10%
85%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
4 - 0
GTM
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
DEU
57%
22%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +4 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
6 - 0
HND
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Qatar U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
QAT
1 - 2
IRN
21%
20%
59%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BGD
1 - 0
QAT
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
QAT
0 - 6
UZB
44%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
THA
1 - 1
QAT
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 3
SYR
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |