Brazil U23 vs Germany U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
5 - 2
UAE
87%
10%
4%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
SRB
0 - 3
BRA
18%
22%
61%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 2
CPV
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
EGY
2 - 1
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
KOR
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Germany U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HND
1 - 1
DEU
23%
21%
57%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
DEU
57%
22%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
NGA
0 - 2
DEU
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
POR
0 - 4
DEU
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
DEU
10 - 0
FIJ
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |