Brazil U20 vs Uruguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
5 - 3
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 4
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 1
JPN
89%
8%
3%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
URU
3 - 3
PER
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
URU
0 - 0
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
URU
2 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
URU
4 - 2
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |