Brazil U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 2
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
BRA
17%
22%
62%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
USA
0 - 4
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARG
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
URU
2 - 2
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
38%
25%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |