Brazil U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
BOL
92%
6%
1%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
92%
6%
1%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
89%
9%
3%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 2
ARG
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
4 - 2
ECU
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
20%
22%
57%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |