Brazil U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
COL
1 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 0
VEN
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
URU
2 - 4
BRA
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
MLI
3 - 1
NGA
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
IRL
1 - 1
NGA
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
NGA
1 - 2
PAR
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
NGA
2 - 0
GER
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
NGA
1 - 1
CRC
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |