Brazil U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1987 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1987 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
BRA
5 - 1
PER
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1987 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
SUN
0 - 0
NGA
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 0
NGA
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 2
NGA
65%
20%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1985 |
AUS
2 - 3
NGA
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1985 |
SUN
2 - 1
NGA
29%
29%
42%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |