Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ISR
3 - 2
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
TUN
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
NGA
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
BRA
6 - 0
DOM
90%
8%
2%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ITA
3 - 2
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
USA
1 - 2
MEX
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CUB
0 - 2
MEX
13%
17%
70%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 1
CRC
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
MEX
1 - 1
PAN
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GTM
1 - 2
MEX
13%
19%
68%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |