Brazil U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
CIV
1 - 1
BRA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
5 - 1
IRN
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
65%
18%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
IRN
0 - 0
ITA
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1977 |
ITA
1 - 1
CIV
78%
13%
9%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |