Brazil U20 vs USA U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARG
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
BRA
3 - 1
USA
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
BRA
5 - 0
MLI
81%
13%
5%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
BRA
2 - 0
DDR
75%
16%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
USA U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
NGA
2 - 1
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
IRQ
1 - 2
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
BRA
3 - 1
USA
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1989 |
DDR
0 - 2
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
MLI
1 - 1
USA
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |