Brazil U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
73%
16%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
PER
0 - 3
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 2
BRA
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 1
URU
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
35%
25%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 1
ECU
13%
20%
67%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
2 - 4
PAR
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |