Brazil U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 2
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
BRA
17%
22%
62%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
USA
0 - 4
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
ECU
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
KOR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
ECU
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
URU
1 - 3
ECU
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |