Brazil U20 vs Colombia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
PER
0 - 5
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 2
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
URU
0 - 0
COL
48%
24%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PER
1 - 3
COL
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
COL
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |