Brazil U20 vs Colombia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 2
CHI
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARG
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2007 |
COL
0 - 0
ARG
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
COL
2 - 3
PAR
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2007 |
COL
0 - 2
URU
43%
24%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
COL
0 - 5
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
COL
2 - 1
VEN
89%
8%
2%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |