Brasil de Pelotas vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
AVA
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRA
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
GOI
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
BRA
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOA
56%
26%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LON
2 - 1
PAY
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
PAY
0 - 4
PPE
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAY
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
PAY
2 - 0
FFL
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 0
GUA
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |