Brasil de Pelotas vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECA
3 - 2
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
VER
3 - 1
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 0
JUV
15%
22%
63%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 7
SCI
8%
19%
73%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
4 - 0
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
ISM
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SCI
4 - 1
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 2
JUV
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |