Brasil de Pelotas vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
CRI
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECA
3 - 2
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 4
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 3
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAX
33%
29%
38%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
JEC
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |