Brasil de Pelotas vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
URS
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECA
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
JEC
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MET
2 - 2
JEC
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JEC
5 - 0
IMB
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
JEC
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
JEC
4 - 0
AVA
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +2 |