Brasil de Pelotas vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
46.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRE
42%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
BRA
33%
29%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 0
BRA
28%
27%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
PEL
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ITU
4 - 2
CAB
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
ITU
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
26%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITU
22%
27%
52%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |