Brasil de Pelotas vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
JUV
38%
30%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SCI
3 - 1
BRA
85%
12%
3%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
SCI
12%
23%
65%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
LAJ
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
35%
29%
36%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
BAT
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |