Gaucho 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Brasil de Pelotas vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 1
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
SLU
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SLU
1 - 1
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 2
BRA
15%
22%
64%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECA
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 1
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 0
VER
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VER
1 - 0
ECS
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SLU
1 - 2
ECS
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 2
JUV
30%
26%
43%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |