Brasil de Pelotas vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ECS
2 - 1
BRA
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 0
BRA
77%
17%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
YPI
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 1
CAX
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAX
0 - 1
VER
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAX
3 - 3
CRU
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
ECS
1 - 3
CAX
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAX
3 - 0
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |