Brasil de Pelotas vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
53.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
JEC
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
URS
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAX
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 3
SLU
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
YPI
4 - 2
CAX
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAX
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |