Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 1-9
Brasil de Pelotas vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 0
AGU
31%
31%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 2
BRA
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAC
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
BRA
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 0
ECA
51%
29%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
REA
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
BRA
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 2
BRA
37%
30%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRA
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
DOM
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |