Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 0-3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
68.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
FAR
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
LON
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 1
ATP
12%
20%
68%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
1 - 2
ATP
12%
21%
67%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 2
TCW
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATP
30%
25%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |