Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.2%
74.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
20.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
27.8%
0-2
19%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
BRA
87%
10%
3%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 0
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
PPE
14%
22%
63%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
SLU
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
COR
0 - 2
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATM
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 1
ATM
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
1 - 2
VAS
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
BRA
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 0
AMF
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |