Brasil de Pelotas vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 2
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 3
PAS
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
RIO
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 2
ARA
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 3
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ATP
2 - 1
ARA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
TCW
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |